🎯 Yesterday we picked 19 winners from 45 races, and three of our five best bets won.
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📊 Track record
Every HorsePal Pro v8 prediction tracked against the actual result since 24 October.
📅 254 races tracked over 8 days. Results still to come for one day.
🎯 Our top pick won
33.5%
85 of 254
💷 Our top pick placed
63.0%
160 of 254
🏇 One of our top picks placed
92.1%
234 of 254 races
🏆 The winner was in our top three
69.7%
💰 Best bets won
48.6%
18 of 37
📈 Each way strategy BETA
+£8.27
9 of 24 placed · £1 each way
🎯 Expected and actual
is the model doing what it should?| Expected | Actual | Verdict | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our top pick won254 races | 32.0% | 33.5% | ✓ On track |
| 💰 BANKERbest bets won18 bets | 62.7% | 66.7% | ✓ On track |
| 💰 STRONGbest bets won19 bets | 43.6% | 31.6% | ✓ On track |
| Date | Winners | Win % | Place % | Best bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | 2 of 2 | 100.0% | 100.0% | - |
| Fri 30 Oct | 19 of 45 | 42.2% | 64.4% | 3 of 5 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 12 of 38 | 31.6% | 71.1% | 2 of 4 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 11 of 38 | 28.9% | 65.8% | 3 of 6 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 9 of 30 | 30.0% | 60.0% | 3 of 6 |
| Mon 26 Oct | 17 of 47 | 36.2% | 68.1% | 4 of 4 |
| Sun 25 Oct | 6 of 23 | 26.1% | 39.1% | 2 of 6 |
| Sat 24 Oct | 9 of 31 | 29.0% | 58.1% | 1 of 6 |
All best bets
18/37 (49%)
placed 31/37
Banker
12/18 (67%)
placed 16/18 · expected about 60% won
Strong
6/19 (32%)
placed 15/19 · expected about 40% won
£1 each way
−£2.42
£1 to win: −£5.61
Bets 37Won 18Strike rate 48.6%Profit −£5.61Return per £1 −15.2%
30 Oct
Hold The ServeBANKER12:35 Uttoxeter · 68% chance
✓ Won1/2
30 Oct
With NolimitBANKER1:00 Down Royal · 63% chance
✓ Won2/7
30 Oct
Taranis DubhBANKER1:07 Uttoxeter · 73% chance
✓ Won1/2
30 Oct
Le Beau MadrikBANKER1:20 Wetherby · 83% chance
✗ 2nd2/9
30 Oct
Carbine CountryBANKER3:30 Newmarket · 56% chance
🥈 2nd4/6
29 Oct
Lady PhillipsSTRONG12:42 Bath · 43% chance
🥈 2nd8/13
29 Oct
ForthfactorBANKER2:20 Stratford · 79% chance
✓ Won1/5
29 Oct
Verney FoxSTRONG3:30 Ffos Las · 42% chance
✓ Won7/4
29 Oct
DistillateSTRONG6:00 Southwell (AW) · 39% chance
🥉 3rd11/10
28 Oct
Vango Can GoBANKER1:21 Newton Abbot · 83% chance
✓ Won1/5
28 Oct
Current EditionBANKER1:36 Huntingdon · 53% chance
🥈 2nd5/6
28 Oct
FulcrumSTRONG1:46 Nottingham · 47% chance
🥈 2ndEvens
28 Oct
Real QuartzSTRONG1:51 Newton Abbot · 44% chance
✓ Won11/10
28 Oct
Crayons In The SkyBANKER5:00 Dundalk (AW) · 52% chance
✓ Won4/5
28 Oct
Arabian SummerSTRONG7:15 Kempton (AW) · 46% chance
🥉 3rd4/6
27 Oct
CyberspaceSTRONG12:40 Catterick · 45% chance
🥈 2ndEvens
27 Oct
Wilde's LegacyBANKER12:56 Newcastle · 66% chance
✓ Won4/7
27 Oct
Rattlin HomeBANKER2:16 Bangor-on-Dee · 59% chance
✓ Won4/6
27 Oct
Silver HillSTRONG2:31 Newcastle · 41% chance
✗ 4th11/8
27 Oct
Show Me GlorySTRONG5:00 Wolverhampton (AW) · 45% chance
✓ Won6/4
27 Oct
RidgerSTRONG6:00 Wolverhampton (AW) · 40% chance
🥈 2nd11/8
26 Oct
Rogue ConstelationBANKER1:37 Leicester · 54% chance
✓ Won8/11
26 Oct
SharkeyboyBANKER1:42 Galway · 57% chance
✓ Won4/6
26 Oct
Miss KingstonBANKER3:27 Hereford · 58% chance
✓ Won8/15
26 Oct
ShowmasterBANKER5:15 Kempton (AW) · 52% chance
✓ Won8/13
25 Oct
Chart TopperSTRONG12:32 Galway · 49% chance
✓ Won11/10
25 Oct
Moore BrionSTRONG1:00 Market Rasen · 46% chance
✓ Won5/6
25 Oct
Don DandyBANKER1:35 Market Rasen · 60% chance
🥈 2nd4/6
25 Oct
Light Up The DarkBANKER2:17 Galway · 50% chance
🥈 2ndEvens
25 Oct
Square NeckerSTRONG3:40 Wexford · 48% chance
✗ PU/F4/6
25 Oct
Bulgaden CastleSTRONG3:56 Galway · 44% chance
✗ 5thEvens
24 Oct
Noble ExhibitSTRONG1:30 Doncaster · 38% chance
✗ 3rd11/8
24 Oct
Eazy BreezySTRONG1:37 Kelso · 40% chance
🥈 2nd11/8
24 Oct
Road To WembleySTRONG1:45 Cheltenham · 42% chance
🥈 2nd13/8
24 Oct
Bengal TigerSTRONG2:05 Doncaster · 44% chance
✓ Won5/6
24 Oct
National HonourBANKER2:40 Doncaster · 62% chance
✗ 2nd8/15
24 Oct
Smoke TrailSTRONG4:25 Kelso · 45% chance
🥈 2nd6/5
| Going | Races | Our top pick won | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soft To Heavy | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Good To Firm | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Good To Soft | 21 | 10 | 47.6% |
| Yielding | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Standard / Slow | 18 | 7 | 38.9% |
| Good | 51 | 18 | 35.3% |
| Soft | 61 | 21 | 34.4% |
| Standard | 60 | 18 | 30.0% |
| Heavy | 16 | 3 | 18.8% |
| Yielding To Soft | 10 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Type | Races | Our top pick won | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| NH Flat | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| Hurdle | 63 | 25 | 39.7% |
| Flat | 142 | 43 | 30.3% |
| Chase | 37 | 11 | 29.7% |
| Race class | Races | Our top pick won | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conditions/Stakes | 17 | 9 | 52.9% |
| NH Flat | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| Novice | 31 | 15 | 48.4% |
| Maiden | 36 | 15 | 41.7% |
| Handicap | 150 | 39 | 26.0% |
| Novice Handicap | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Distance | Races | Our top pick won | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sprint (up to 6f) | 43 | 14 | 32.6% |
| 7 to 8f | 65 | 20 | 30.8% |
| 9 to 10f | 16 | 5 | 31.2% |
| 11 to 12f | 13 | 4 | 30.8% |
| 13 to 16f | 24 | 8 | 33.3% |
| Staying (17f+) | 93 | 34 | 36.6% |
| Field size | Races | Our top pick won | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 to 5 runners | 25 | 8 | 32.0% |
| 6 to 8 runners | 70 | 24 | 34.3% |
| 9 to 12 runners | 109 | 38 | 34.9% |
| 13+ runners | 50 | 15 | 30.0% |
| Course | Races | Our top pick won | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Redcar | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| Cheltenham | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Hereford | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Newton Abbot | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Market Rasen | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Uttoxeter | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Newmarket | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Newcastle | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Down Royal | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Dundalk (AW) | 15 | 6 | 40.0% |
| Kempton (AW) | 18 | 7 | 38.9% |
| Wetherby | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Leicester | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Ffos Las | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Newcastle (AW) | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Southwell (AW) | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| Galway | 15 | 3 | 20.0% |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Nottingham | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Kelso | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Huntingdon | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Bath | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Catterick | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Wexford | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Punchestown | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
Courses with at least two races.
When our pick has a given chance of winning, how often does it actually win? If our chances are right, the two columns should be close.
| We gave our pick | Races | Average chance | Actually won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20% | 48 | 17.0% | 12.5% |
| 20 to 25% | 47 | 22.5% | 25.5% |
| 25 to 30% | 38 | 27.7% | 36.8% |
| 30 to 35% | 31 | 32.3% | 45.2% |
| 35 to 40% | 29 | 37.0% | 31.0% |
| 40 to 50% | 36 | 44.5% | 38.9% |
| 50 to 60% | 15 | 55.2% | 53.3% |
| 60% and over | 10 | 70.8% | 80.0% |
📁 Previous model: HorsePal Pro v6 (31 March to 23 October 2026). Its pick won 22% of 8,126 races. Kept separately and not counted above. See how v6 performed →